Rene Galarreta / Mariátegui
03/22/1911 After
the publication of polls weekend, things are decanting. Ollanta Humala going to Castaneda, but still ignored by the media who seek PPK, who can take care of many interests. Two theories: The polls reflect reality, or just candid their figures.
In the first case, we would argue that the rise of Ollanta lies in its campaign, which has been distorting all the myths that were created against him since 2005, when he dared to throw without sponsors in economic power, and without allies political weight they wanted to put as the outsider candidate, as the APRA or the Toledo. The boundary with the incompatibility of a nationalist and pawn Hugo Chavez at a time, and the certainty that in 2006, there was now a consensus as groups of economic and political power, government and the U.S. Embassy, \u200b\u200blest he might become president, profited in some way their application. After that ongoing work since 2006 until now, the streets, respondents find it easier to say they will vote for Ollanta, which proclaims a real change in democracy, and Earn Peru and nationalism. However, in the case of PPK, do not think his strategy has proved without massive and concerted support from the media, and the huge money you are investing in all that marketing and advertising of the past two weeks.
The second theory sincerely for poll numbers are more credible and can be demonstrated by the actions of those who do not want anything to change, and certain events that can be explained well. The strategy of dirty war and the 2006 attack Ollanta did not have the same effect on the village in 2010, so has had to rely on this 2011 to the invisibility of the proposed Peru Ollanta y Gana. At the beginning of this campaign, placed with 9% nationally and neither mentioned in the media, unless it were negative notes.
So with all other alternative media and newspapers such as The First have reported their actions continuously, somehow avoiding manipulation information. Toledo back from the U.S. and stealing the proposed step of nationalism, said returning to finish his work and blasted the country's wealth could not give in their management of 2001-2006. But put in 30% was actually an exaggeration, like Castaneda or Keiko in more than 20 points. PPK and Meche Araoz had a similar profile to Toledo, considered as "economists and successful," so they were promptly expectorated from the media and / or encouraged to fight their hosts, to promote their electoral marginality. And Manuel Rodriguez Cuadros with FS were continually promoted by the right as the alternative to Ollanta within the left and progressive sectors. What they did not expect was that this strategy would fail.
To start, Meche Araoz Toledo resigns and leaves open a cream competing economic, but also as the only competitor PPK similar to Toledo. On the other hand Ollanta was an ongoing campaign in Lima that broke the media strategy to hide. And with the consensus of all analysts that Castañeda's campaign was the worst of all, for their ongoing demonstrations of intolerance, poor ease of speech and no charisma, besides being attacked almost daily by Miró Quesada by Fritz Perú21 Du Bois, and to put the icing on the cake, with a report of petty corruption in the municipality Comunicore substantially exceeded.
Meanwhile, Toledo as a "pointer" withstood all attacks, and his untimely toxicological testing, further undermining its credibility by making it the liar, 2011. And PPK resorted to a marketing strategy based on attention, no matter without right or wrong, and mass events with the Mexican Miguel Angel Cornejo motivator to quit it means anonymity imposed. And Keiko, a congressman who leaked list for the continued infiltration of drug trafficking cases and ties to Montesinos and his daddy's nurse, Gina Pacheco, strangely resurrected after an adverse ruling, decreased their ability leadership. The turning point occurs when all the pollsters are challenged not only by the JNE, but also by public opinion. Without that last backup, who sincerely have their numbers early. And all this has had to develop a PPK, and a new strategy.
automatically after PPK reached 6%, the media onslaught begin to return to manipulate public opinion to prevent the presentation Ollanta as the only growing insurance. For this they have been publishing distorted notes two weeks ago, where PPK was an "outsider", the surprise, which was supported by young people who have thousands in facebook, etc. All this accompanied by headlines systematically attacking all candidates nationwide. And this past week PPK has marched straight for another week for all television programs incurred.
channel Frecuencia Latina is the most outrageous, ridiculous skits with PPK in the last two programs Especial del Humor, and one in The Night is Mine Carlos Carlin, then several times through the channel of the Miro Quesada, one in Lima lemon, then Cuarto Poder, moving on to Pan American Public Enemies, BDP, etc.. With that means instead of mentioning the rise of Ollanta, which makes the PPK, creating his fictional rebound, which is the final following a strategy of conquest of perception people that really PPK would be an "outsider." If before replacing Toledo Ollanta through theft of his speech, now replaces Toledo PPK since it was not so burned like this. The evaluation of this strategy indicates that before the fall of Castro and Keiko, and the rise of Ollanta, this should remain one. And it has created for this purpose the "inflated" by PPK to justify not talking about Ollanta.
personally do not think anything in the polls. From fujimontesinismo where Alfredo Torres of the polling support, and Manuel Saavedra of ICC meetings were mentioned in the INS Montesinos, to manipulate public opinion after the coup, the credibility of these two people is almost nil.
In the 2006 elections, Ollanta was none until I put a poll in December 2005 as a pointer, kicking off the worst season in Peru, demolition of any candidate. Index, owned by an APRA bet until the last round by Castaneda, or several polls that have been reported by Paniagua in his time, for Ollanta now, asking for money to alter their numbers and benefit them, which no doubt has been happening to many candidates to date. The certainty that Ollanta has more support than what is stated in Support and Datum, and the question of knowing who all the candidates pro model range will be your opponent, do not leave to warn that the strategy of putting all very close second children may promote fraud, with a closed vote and very dependent on the JNE and ONPE, which have demonstrated long dependency and partiality to the interests of government and most of all, Garcia .
Final Recommendations: Continue to counteract the manipulation of the perception of those who do not want change, the government, the U.S. embassy, \u200b\u200bthe power groups, media, surveys, etc. with a good strategy and massive support of Ollanta. And to further strengthen the proposals, making enough ombudsmen to prevent another fraud like 2006 ...
The dumb Castaneda, who when he speaks like lying, holds the worst campaign strategy before the unveiling of corrupt practices in the audit of its management, and does not hesitate to seek help from Garcia, who seems to have abandoned to his overwhelming decline in voter preferences, that even with all the money faenones of the municipality of Lima, you can stop ...
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