Epinoza Gustavo M. * / Mariátegui
03/26/1911
Two candidates virtually tied on 19 points, a third with 18 and two more with 17 public acceptance, form a turbulent stage in Peru today.
As this occurs when we are barely two weeks before the national elections scheduled for April 10, may sign a joint proposal made by leading political analysts, here, anything can happen.
significant thing, however, is the rapid growth of two contrasting natural enemies: Ollanta Humala, who represents the forces competing for a significant change in national life, and Pedro Pablo Kuczynski, a World Bank economist who seeks to perpetuate at all costs the neoliberal model and riveting in the worst terms dependence that binds us to financial capital.
The other three candidates from the "bunch more", are virtually defeat, or simply stuck. Alejandro Toledo has been falling since the high building of 32 points, and we do not know if it reached his floor. Luis Castillo also falls, overwhelmed by the most number of allegations of a financial nature and its dramatic inability to formulate plans and no government, but even releases. Keiko Fujimori and smiling lies, but clinging to a rock no breaks, but does not grow.
The outcome probably will not meet its definition in the consultation categorical approaches. It is expected that Peruvians march to a second electoral round on June 5, in which the two candidates fight over city's favor.
But that also depends on how electoral polarization arises. And that only you can feel the pulse in the final of this competition, ie from April 8, when the polls and have been silenced by authority of law.
For now, and although there are no reasonable doubts dispelled about her figure, Ollanta Humala in the prospect looms as the candidate harder. A confusing message from a nationalist, has been making its way with a good dose of wit and cunning.
Rather than asserting a program, your concern has been marked by a focused effort to erase the memory of the wake Peruvians left in some segments of society its "message Chavez" in 2006, still is criticized in the media communication in the service of right.
gone in that direction the thrust of his campaign to distance himself from the experience of Venezuela, shaping the face of a candidate "more mature", more "realistic", he knows that some things "that can not be do "or structures that can not be broken. Perhaps the episode
end of that content, apart from his visits to the United States Embassy and his trip to Washington was his latest interview with Cardinal Juan Luis Cipriani, the visible head of most conservative thought Peruvian Church .
As reported by the press, the primacy gave him a rosary blessed by Pope ", as emphasized an emotional Humala to leave the meeting, and persuaded the candidate to distance himself from more advanced proposals such as abortion and civil unions same-sex. More recently, since Jauja, in the heart of the Andes, Ollanta reaffirmed its distance from Caracas,
For some sectors of the right, these "changes" in the message Humala, do not look sincere. The magazine Caretas, for example, wondered what the real Ollanta, if the polar white or red polo. And Keiko Fujimori says the Commander is just a wolf in sheep.
seems, then, that something is true is a certain logic: when you make a shift of that magnitude, your friends are put off, but your enemies will not believe you.
And some of that could happen to the flag of Ghana Peru, but outside it has a stage rather inclined to be tolerant of the new willingness of a candidate ready to move between the raindrops without getting wet.
For ordinary people, what counts is that "others" - Toledo, Castañeda, Kuczynski, Keiko, and left. Had in their hands, for many years, the reins of power. And they are therefore complicit in the drama faced by millions of Peruvians killed by poverty and affected by serious failures in health, education and others.
crisis, lawlessness, corruption, violence and chaos in our country are known sponsors. Although endeavor, they can not evade their responsibilities.
And they are all cut from the same cloth. Therefore, people do not believe them. Knows she could have done something. And they did not Why assume that "now"? many ask.
Because of this reality, if the final polarization will occur among those who are guilty of domestic drama and fighting to get ahead, Ollanta could not only get the highest vote in the first round, but even necessary to achieve not require a second visit.
a phenomenon also could be recorded as if people chose to settle "once the" election issue on 10 April. In this case, it could accumulate in such quantities of amphorae bonds of Ollanta, which would allow win in one round.
And, in fact. The most tangible possibility Humala victory lies in its final 10, because in a second confrontation, may be closed against him very easily adverse circle
is difficult for other candidates have a similar chance because their land is mined by the division. Each is considered to be stand up for the "model." And that is because, in truth, and every one who at the time, all took up for him.
two things right now fears holy water as Satan: Changing Constitution and the abandonment of neo-liberal model.
In the first case, Peru will return to the Constitution of 1979-certainly more advanced than at present, or go to a new Constitution, after convening a Constituent Assembly. In this case, the right would the outcry to shut off any attempt to "re-election" that might arise. Chavez here!, Would be his intemperate cry
And the second thing would reach higher decibels, the right is willing to pursue any remedy to maintain the "model" effect because it made it more rich, much richer, though did the people poorer, much poorer.
All the rest can be discussed. But the Constitution and the Model are the symbol of a society that ostensibly rot, but has qualified defenders. They can even register saber rattling in the military. Ollanta Humala
If projected onto the national scene, beyond their limitations and find a true path for national liberation, will then have a tough battle ahead.
But not deliver alone. In this endeavor, if you have to give it, you can have the massive membership of millions. But they will have to work with your organization providing education and awareness.
And that is a gigantic task.
* The Collective Management of Our Flag
http://nuestrabandera.lamula.pe
